Wind AlliesTier 2
at LKH Store Championship
decks
4
(14.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
7-9-1
overall winrate
44.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.4%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1274
· median 1291
· range 1110–1403
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
956
Q1 1192
Q3 1402
1498
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -3.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 31.1% | -12.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 58.7% | +5.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Exia | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
